Thursday, August 30, 2007

2007 Fantasy Football Looks and Touches Projections

Matt Buser at writes a great article on the number of looks and touches each player gets during the regular season. Its a great way to help determine the potential value of a fantasy player. "Looks" refer to the number of times a player was targeted with a pass and "touches" refers to the number of times an RB carried or caught a football.

Buser projects the leaders in each fantasy football category for running backs, wide receivers and tight ends. Here are the projected top 5 in each category.

Running Back

  1. LaDainian Tomlinson - 402
  2. Steven Jackson - 399
  3. Larry Johnson - 391
  4. Edgerrin James - 385
  5. Joseph Addai - 382

Wide Receiver

  1. Torry Holt - 173
  2. Donald Driver - 165
  3. Terrell Owens - 156
  4. Andre Johnson - 155
  5. Anquan Boldin - 154

Tight End

  1. Antonio Gates - 126
  2. Todd Heap - 116
  3. Jeremy Shockey - 115
  4. Alge Crumpler - 112
  5. Chris Cooley - 111

For the most part, these projections reflect the overall fantasy football ranked value for each of the players. Some of the exceptions include RB Edgerrin James and in the WR category Andre Johnson and Anquan Boldin. These 3 a great players and could have great years, but they are ranked higher in "looks and touches" projections than they are in points projections.

However, these projections could represent an opportunity for these players to have tier 1 seasons. For example, if Edge is able to increase his yards per carry this year, those 385 touches could translate into 1,500 yards. Arizona has not shown signs of huge improvement in the running game thus far, but that could change as the season goes on.

Andre Johnson and Anquan Boldin also have the talent to have tier 1 seasons. Each Wr should benefit from improved QB play this year in Matt Schaub and a more experienced Matt Leinart.

Buser examines looks and touches weekly and it examining it should be a routine part of your weekly fantasy football research. You may be able to discover a waiver wire player that could turn your season around.

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